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Our paper “Lift the Ban? Initial Employment Restrictions and Refugee Labour Market Outcomes”, joint with Francesco Fasani and Luigi Minale has been conditionally accepted for publication on the Journal of the European Economic Association.

We assess the medium to long-term effects of employment bans on the labor market outcomes of refugees by gathering almost 30 years of data on the presence and length of employment bans across 19 European countries and combining them with cross-sectional information on refugees who arrived from 1985 onwards.

These are the key results:

1) Being banned from employment at entry reduces refugee employment probability in the medium run by 8.9 percentage points, or 15.2 percent. This negative effect is explained primarily by a 9.2 percentage point lower labor market participation rather than by a higher probability of being unemployed. This effect is quantitatively equivalent to about a 4-year delay in the integration process.

2) Exposure to longer bans has a larger negative effect than exposure to shorter ones, but the marginal effect of ban length is decreasing, implying that most detrimental effects are likely to materialize during the first months of the ban.

3) The negative effects of employment bans are highly persistent, with negative effects remaining sizeable up to 10 years post arrival despite growing smaller over time.

  Posts

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January 17th, 2024

2 Post-doc positions at the University of Milan

Francesco Fasani and I are looking for two post-docs to work with us at the University of Milan on migration-related […]

January 17th, 2024

Save the date! 8th Migration Observatory Annual Conference and presentation of the annual report

Save the date! The Migration Observatory 8th Annual Conference will take place on March 22, 2023 , at the Fondazione Collegio Carlo […]

March 7th, 2023

Migration Observatory – 7th Annual Conference and Presentation of the Annual Report, 17th March 2023

The Migration Observatory 7h Annual Conference will take place on March 17, 2023 , 9:30 – 18:00 (CET), at the […]

April 20th, 2022

I dati e le politiche migratorie – Università Statale di Milano, 5 maggio 2022, 9:30-13

Come può l’analisi dei dati migliorare l’efficienza e l’efficacia degli interventi di politica migratoria? Negli ultimi anni è aumentata la […]

March 30th, 2022

Interview on Refugee Integration at LISER

During my visit at the Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, I recorded a short video interview about the labour market […]

February 10th, 2022

Migration Observatory – 6th Annual Conference and Presentation of the Annual Report, 14 March 2022

The Migration Observatory 6th Annual Conference will take place on March 14, 2022 , 9:45 – 18:00 (CET), at the […]

May 28th, 2021

Podcast La Voce in capitolo

I talked to Irene Solmone and Massimo Taddei of the “La Voce in capitolo” podcast about the economic consequences of […]

May 21st, 2021

New paper accepted for publication at the Journal of Economic Geography

My paper with Francesco Fasani and Luigi Minale on “(The Struggle for) Refugee Integration into the Labour Market: Evidence from […]

February 7th, 2021

Migration Observatory – 5th Annual Conference and Presentation of the Annual Report, 12 February 2021

Migration Observatory 5th Annual Conference: “Immigration and COVID-19” February 12 2021, 14.30 – 17.30 (CET) – Online via Zoom The […]

January 4th, 2021

Call for Papers – CEPR/University of Milan Annual Symposium in Labour Economics, Milan, 10-11 June 2021

We invite you to submit a paper or express interest in attending the 2021 CEPR/University of Milan Annual Symposium in Labour […]