40 Years of Dempster-Shafer Theory
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 12– December 2016 The International Journal of Approximate Reasoning is celebrating 40 years of Dempster–...
Category: what’s hot in uncertain reasoning
The entire Hot Hand Fallacy is wrong!
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 9– Semptember 2016 The Rio 2016 Olympic Games have been, as usual, a great illustration of the Laplacian ...
The Seven Pillars of Statistical Reasoning
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 8– August 2016 Statistician Stephen Stigler put forward in the 1980’s the amusing Law of Eponymy wh...
P. Dawid, On Individual Risk
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 6– June 2016 In Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning: Patterns of plausible inference G. Polya introduces ...
Hilbert’s interpretations of probability
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 5– May 2016 The concept of Probability is interesting, among other reasons, for the variety of way...
Probabilistic mistakes kill (possibly many innocents)
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 4– March 2016 The Oscar winning documentary Citizenfour brought the concept of metadata to the attention ...
Sex and the Climate
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 3 – March 2016 Hard-to-quantify (aka “severe”, “deep”, “Knightian”, e...
Getting to the bottom of Bayes…
Originally published in The Reasoner Volume 10, Number 2 – February 2016 The Cross-Check blog of the Scientific American, published recently a post titled Bayes...