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Gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat

Old img from Women's Enews

This research note employs aggregate State level data to analyze the results of the 2024 US presidential election, and to explore the role played by gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat. The Democratic party failed to capitalize on the characteristics of its presidential candidate and, compared to Biden’s election, to expand its support in states with larger female and African American electorates, and faced systematic losses in those with more Hispanic voters. This note contributes to a cumulative macro-micro approach to the analysis of election results, and thus to overcoming both ecological and micrological fallacies.

Marco Giuliani (2025). Gender and race in Kamala Harris’s defeat. A cross-state analysis of U.S. 2024 presidential election. Italian Journal of Electoral Studies, Research Note 6: 1-10. DOI: 10.36253/qoe-17135

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Supporting Young Adults’ Life Choices: A Longitudinal Perspective on the Role of Welfare Effort Across Crises

Young adults’ life choices and patterns of their permanence in the parental house are extraordinarily heterogeneous across European countries. What is the role of the welfare state in accounting for such diversity and how has it changed over time? This article addresses these questions by relying on regression models covering 31 European countries over the period 2005–2022. Deploying age-sensitive welfare effort measures, the study provides fresh empirical evidence about the ‘welfare matters’ hypothesis, confirming that even when controlling for a large set of economic, social, political and cultural variables, youth welfare effort remains a highly significant factor. Furthermore, our findings show that its role increased in the wake of crisis periods such as the Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic, producing additional divergence among countries. From a life-course perspective, these results suggest that targeted social spending may be an effective investment for promoting young people’s paths towards autonomy.

Marco Giuliani & Ilaria Madama (2025). Supporting Young Adults’ Life Choices: A Longitudinal Perspective on the Role of Welfare Effort Across Crises. Young 34(1): 6-25.

A sort of executive summary in Italian can be found in Altreconomia (September 2025)

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Unpacking the globalization-welfare nexus. 

The article engages with the comparative literature on the highly debated globalization-welfare nexus by conducting an extended meta-analysis on the relationship between openness and social spending. By means of a series of meta-regressions, we investigate methodological and substantive elements responsible for the heterogeneity of the empirical findings, and the support for the opposite compensation and efficiency hypotheses. Amongst others, our findings suggest that the conceptualization and measurement of the independent and dependent variable systematically affect the results obtained by researchers, whereas the period and the geographical scope do not have the leverage that is sometimes claimed in the literature.

Marco Giuliani & Ilaria Madama (2025). Unpacking the globalization-welfare nexus. A meta-analysis of comparative evidence, mechanisms and effects of openness on social spending, Journal of European Social Policy, (35)4: 392–405.